Saturday, September 10, 2016

Kanban! #noestimates

David Anderson

Modern Agile...

...seems to be moving away from team driven estimates, iteration commitments. Josh Kerievski, from Industrial Logic the "Modern Agile" guru thinks of team estimating is no longer useful.  David Anderson's company, LeanKanban seems to be the standard bearer.  They offer training have a method. The training requires reading Kanban: Successful Evolutionary Change for Your Technology Business.

As expected statistical analysis of past actuals is central to the approach.  A three blog post series begins to  lay out the thinking from a project managers POV:

"With Kanban we talk about scheduling, sequencing, selection ("the three S's") and options, commitment, capacity allocation, risk management and hedging. We don't estimate, instead we forecast. Expectations are set based on probabilistic forecasts, and schedules are set based on a tolerance for risk versus economic costs based on probabilities of specific outcomes."

Need to read the book. Sounds great but the historical data appears to need to be structured in a fashion that matches the Kanban model - so a little chicken / egg thing happening there. My guess is it will come back to the grain of capability, feature, story.

Friday, September 9, 2016

Modern Agile




Bob Payne suggested I have a look into Modern Agile. Wow - very interesting. Industrial Logic's CEO Joshua Kerievsky is it's advocate / (inventor?)

Key items:
  • Industrial XP
  • New take on manifesto
    • Make Users Awesome (that's EVERYONE invovled from customer to janitor)
    • Make safety a pre-requisite
    • Continuous value delivery
    • Experiment and learn rapidly
  • His July 2016 Agile Alliance keynote is great (nice story about learning to ride a bike)
    • Short on implementation details e.g. "flow with no estimates"
  • Great list of books to read:
    • He called out Badass, The Lean Startup as must read - I'd like to read Kanban